Worked case · Controlled response · 12 figures

Network and business explanation

Compare the network with the business story

Figure 01 / 12

The population that monitoring actually sees

The population that monitoring actually sees — Network and business explanation. Count; counterparty-network events in one day. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Count; counterparty-network events in one day

10,547 of 10,600 source items enter this monitoring calculation. The missing 53 items are a coverage gap, not evidence of low risk. Reconcile stable identifiers and amounts where appropriate before interpreting the alert rate.

Figure data and text version
Population stateItems
Included in monitoring10,547
Absent from this run53

A dense cluster can describe payroll, marketplace settlement, a household, or an activity needing further investigation. The business story determines the useful comparison.

Compare transaction roles and timing with the declared business and plausible alternatives.

All amounts, rates, capacity limits, and outcomes in this case are synthetic. The three conditions are separate assumptions for comparison. A better result in the response condition is not measured proof that the proposed control causes that improvement. The figures expose the calculation and its limits; a real deployment needs its own evidence.

Read the result

The daily source population is 10,600 items, but 53 are outside the completed monitoring run. The included population creates 465 hits and 442 unique cases. With 64 cases already open and capacity for 434, the queue closes at 72. Coverage, duplicate work, and staffing are separate causes; reducing one number does not prove that the overall control improved.

Model inputs and calculated values

Inputs below are the case-specific values. Each figure states the condition-specific assumptions and units used in its calculation. Calculated values are rounded for display.

InputValue
population10,600
alertRate0.042
capacity310
backlog64
Calculated valueResult
population10,600
covered10,547
missing53
raw465
duplicates23
cases442
opening64
resolved434
closing72
capacity434
Figure 02 / 12

From scenario hits to unique cases

From scenario hits to unique cases — Network and business explanation. Count; hit and case units differ. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Count; hit and case units differ

465 raw hits become 442 cases after removing 23 repeated references to the same case under the stated merge rule. Deduplication should reduce duplicate work while retaining the underlying events and reasons. It must not merge unrelated activity merely because values look similar.

Figure data and text version
StageCount
Raw scenario hits465
Duplicate references23
Unique cases442
Figure 03 / 12

The queue balance is an accounting identity

The queue balance is an accounting identity — Network and business explanation. Cases per day. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Cases per day

Opening backlog 64 + arrivals 442 − completed cases 434 = closing backlog 72. Completion is capped by both available work and the stated capacity. This identity is useful even when average handling times are uncertain.

Figure data and text version
MovementCasesDefinition
Opening backlog64Unresolved at window start
New cases442Unique arrivals in this window
Completed434Reached a defined completion state
Closing backlog72Unresolved at window end
Figure 04 / 12

Backlog accumulates across uneven days

Backlog accumulates across uneven days — Network and business explanation. Cases unresolved at day end. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Cases unresolved at day end

This deterministic six-day example applies a stated daily arrival multiplier and a constant completion capacity. Unused capacity does not carry forward as completed work. The series is a workload illustration; it omits variable case durations and specialist routing. Horizontal positions are the labeled observations or scenarios; equal spacing does not imply equal numerical increments.

Figure data and text version
DayClosing backlog
D172
D214
D3110
D4339
D5391
D6266
Figure 05 / 12

Arrivals and completions need separate plots

Arrivals and completions need separate plots — Network and business explanation. Cases per day. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Cases per day

The service line cannot exceed the work available that day. A team can complete more cases than arrive while clearing an opening backlog. Conversely, stable staffing can coexist with a growing queue when arrivals remain higher than capacity. Horizontal positions are the labeled observations or scenarios; equal spacing does not imply equal numerical increments.

Figure data and text version
DayArrivalsCompletions
D1442434
D2376434
D3530434
D4663434
D5486434
D6309434
Figure 06 / 12

An illustrative age profile of open work

An illustrative age profile of open work — Network and business explanation. Cases; constructed snapshot. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Cases; constructed snapshot

The closing backlog is 72 cases. The 50/30/remainder split is an explicit illustrative age allocation, not a distribution inferred from the arrival model. Production age buckets must come from each case’s actual receipt and status history.

Figure data and text version
Age bucketOpen cases
Under one day36
One to three days22
Over three days14
Figure 07 / 12

Completion outcomes are not criminal labels

Completion outcomes are not criminal labels — Network and business explanation. Completed review tasks; synthetic disposition allocation. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Completed review tasks; synthetic disposition allocation

Of 434 completed review tasks, 74 are referred for further assessment, 52 need another evidence action, and 308 close under the stated procedure. These are operational outcomes. None is a probability of money laundering or a substitute for a reporting decision.

Figure data and text version
Review dispositionTasks
Referred for assessment74
Further evidence action52
Closed under procedure308
Figure 08 / 12

Known-event tests assess specific coverage

Known-event tests assess specific coverage — Network and business explanation. Synthetic coverage test. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Synthetic coverage test

The injected test set contains 100 known test events designed to exercise compare the network with the business story. The system surfaces 96. That 96% detection result measures this constructed test set only; it does not establish population-wide detection of illicit activity.

Figure data and text version
MeasureCountInterpretation
Injected known events100Defined test population
Detected by the scenario96Expected evidence reached the control
Not detected4Investigate data, logic, and delivery
Real-world illicit prevalenceUnknownNot inferred from this test
Figure 09 / 12

Data quality has several independent dimensions

Data quality has several independent dimensions — Network and business explanation. Count; overlapping field checks. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Count; overlapping field checks

Each row is a different field requirement over the same source population. Completeness alone does not establish that values are accurate or current. The case uses explicit illustrative missing counts to show how data quality can affect scenario coverage.

Figure data and text version
Field requirementPresentAbsent
Party reference10,57921
Event time10,54753
Counterparty context10,441159
Figure 10 / 12

Type the relationship before drawing an inference

Type the relationship before drawing an inference — Network and business explanation. Typed evidence relationships. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Typed evidence relationships

This evidence map distinguishes a customer relationship, a transfer, and a case reference. The links support compare the network with the business story; they do not imply common ownership or intent. A shared data point is a lead whose meaning depends on source, time, and context.

Figure data and text version
FromToRelationship
Network and business explanationCounterparty AObserved transfer
Network and business explanationProfile recordDeclared business
Counterparty ACase recordEvidence reference
Profile recordCase recordContext for review
Figure 11 / 12

Case clocks start from defined events

Case clocks start from defined events — Network and business explanation. Illustrative internal timing. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Illustrative internal timing

A legal deadline, an internal response target, and an evidence-expiry date can start from different events. The hours here are internal teaching targets only. They are not BSA, sanctions, consumer-protection, or other statutory deadlines.

Figure data and text version
EventRelative timeOperational meaning
Source eventT0Activity occurred
Data arrivalT0 + 2 hoursThe monitoring system learned it
Case createdT0 + 3 hoursWork entered an owned queue
Internal review targetT0 + 27 hoursIllustrative 24-hour target from case creation
DispositionRecorded separatelyUse actual decision and reporting records
Figure 12 / 12

The end-to-end delivery contract

The end-to-end delivery contract — Network and business explanation. Operational control path. Exact values are in the figure data below.
Operational control path

The scenario is incomplete until the intended evidence reaches an owned case. For compare the network with the business story, verify source coverage, hit creation, queue acceptance, reviewer access, and final disposition separately. A green job status proves only that a job reported completion.

Figure data and text version
BoundaryAcceptance evidence
Source to scenario10547 included source items; 53 missing
Scenario to case465 hits linked to 442 unique cases
Case to reviewerRequired evidence visible under the reviewer role
Reviewer to outcomeDisposition, rationale, and any separate reporting decision retained

Connect the result to the system

Compare transaction roles and timing with the declared business and plausible alternatives.

Check the population, evidence, permitted action, and actual effect together. A balanced calculation can still use the wrong population; a successful response can still leave an unknown financial outcome. The case’s numerical result applies only to its stated assumptions.

Sources and further reading

The chapter sources support the concepts and scope. They do not prescribe the synthetic model rates.

  1. FinCEN: Customer Due Diligence Rule and current resources
  2. NIST SP 800-63A-4: identity proofing